HUBL Research

HUBL Research

Where should a UK B2B software company test its first European market in 2026?

A comparative investigation of Ireland, the Netherlands, Germany, France and Spain for a bounded first demand test.

Current HUBL View

For the representative company profile, test the Netherlands first unless stronger company-specific evidence points elsewhere. Ireland is the strongest alternative when English-language access and digital readiness matter more than scale and labour cost.

Current as of: 2026-08-28

Why this matters

A comparative investigation of Ireland, the Netherlands, Germany, France and Spain for a bounded first demand test.

Scope

A representative UK-headquartered B2B software company with approximately EUR 5m-EUR 30m equivalent revenue, an English-language product, no continental entity and a small initial commercial team.

What HUBL investigated

  • Addressable business environment
  • Digital/software readiness
  • ICT labour-cost environment
  • Test friction and reversibility
  • Alternative market objectives

Measured evidence and HUBL interpretation

Five markets, different first-test conditions.

Addressable business environment: latest common comparable year in the selected Eurostat extract: 2020. Paid cloud use is a 2025 proxy for digital/software readiness; it does not measure buying intent.

MarketBusiness environment
enterprises, 2020
Paid cloud use
%, 2025
ICT labour cost
EUR, 2024
HUBL interpretation
Ireland271,69272.31%EUR 70.1Digital/language-first alternativeEnglish access qualifier
Netherlands1,362,94767.62%EUR 58.0Strongest balanced defaultInternational access qualifier
Germany2,485,80452.85%EUR 57.4Scale/value alternativeLocal capability qualifier
France3,084,04839.14%EUR 57.2Scale alternativeLanguage qualifier
Spain2,683,78640.45%EUR 33.3Cost/scale alternativeLanguage qualifier

Sources: Eurostat SBS `sbs_sc_sca_r2`; Eurostat ICT use `isoc_cicce_use`; Eurostat labour costs `lc_lci_lev`. Values are source facts; the final column is HUBL interpretation.

Country decision conditions

Ireland

Choose this first whenChoose this first when English access and digital readiness dominate.

Think twice whenThink twice when scale and labour cost matter strongly.

Netherlands

Choose this first whenChoose this first when a balanced, reversible test matters.

Think twice whenThink twice when maximum scale or minimum labour cost dominates.

Germany

Choose this first whenChoose this first when scale, business depth and local capability dominate.

Think twice whenThink twice when low-commitment English-led testing is the priority.

France

Choose this first whenChoose this first when continental scale is central.

Think twice whenThink twice when an English-led low-commitment test is the priority.

Spain

Choose this first whenChoose this first when scale and lower labour cost matter.

Think twice whenThink twice when selected digital-readiness and English-access factors dominate.

Detailed country-specific regulatory, entity and employment friction was not scored. Reversibility is a HUBL interpretation for the bounded first-test scenario, not a legal or operating-environment ranking.

Evidence

Source fact · Source factIn the latest common Eurostat extract, France and Spain have the largest total business environments among the five markets, followed by Germany and the Netherlands; Ireland is smaller.

Absolute business-environment scale is relevant to reach but is not a software-revenue forecast.

The common extract is from 2020 and covers the total business economy rather than the addressable B2B software market.
Source fact · Source factPaid cloud adoption among enterprises with 10 to 249 employees in 2025 was Ireland 72.31%, the Netherlands 67.62%, Germany 52.85%, Spain 40.45% and France 39.14%.

The indicator supports treating Ireland and the Netherlands as digitally ready test environments.

Cloud adoption is a software-readiness proxy, not willingness to buy HUBL, budget, or product-market fit.
Qualification · Source fact2024 ICT-sector labour cost was EUR 33.3 in Spain, EUR 57.2 in France, EUR 57.4 in Germany, EUR 58.0 in the Netherlands and EUR 70.1 in Ireland.

Spain has the lowest selected labour-cost environment and Ireland the highest, but this does not equal the cost of a small market test.

The dataset is an ICT-sector labour-cost measure, not a sales salary, commission, office, tax, or entity-cost model.
Qualification · HUBL interpretationThe Netherlands offers the strongest observable balance of meaningful business environment, high cloud adoption and manageable relative labour-cost environment for the representative first-test profile.

This is a HUBL interpretation of separate country signals, not a source-published ranking.

No hidden weighted country score is used; company-specific pipeline, language capability and market fit could override it.
Qualification · Source factCurrent euro-area business conditions and financing constraints vary over time and should be treated as context around, not a substitute for, market testing.

A public market comparison cannot establish this company’s future conversion or financing outcome.

Source fact · ImplicationTest the Netherlands first unless stronger company-specific evidence points to another market; use Ireland when English access and digital readiness dominate.

This is a conditional representative recommendation for a low-commitment demand test, not a full expansion decision.

A qualified pilot, customer pipeline, localization requirement, or partner relationship may change the decision.
Derived comparisonICT labour-cost environment relative to five-market median

Country ICT labour cost / five-market median ICT labour cost * 100

Spain 58.0; France 99.7; Germany 100.0; Netherlands 101.0; Ireland 122.1

This is a comparison aid, not actual market-entry cost or a synthetic country score.

Evidence Changed the View

Initial working viewThe investigation began without a default: each market represented a different plausible first-test condition.
New evidenceThe comparisons showed that France and Spain had the largest selected business environments, Ireland the highest selected cloud adoption, Spain the lowest selected ICT labour-cost environment, and the Netherlands a high cloud-adoption level alongside a meaningful business environment. The business-environment comparison is a 2020 common observation and does not measure addressable demand.
Effect on reasoningNo single proxy could determine the first test. HUBL therefore treated the choice as a reversible demand-learning decision, using the observable balance to form a qualified default while retaining conditions that could favour another market.
Current viewFor the representative company profile, test the Netherlands first unless stronger company-specific evidence points elsewhere. Ireland is the strongest alternative when English-language access and digital readiness matter more than scale and labour cost.

Challenge

  • Cloud adoption does not prove willingness to buy HUBL or the quality of a company’s sales opportunity.
  • The Netherlands may look attractive because public proxies reward digital maturity and accessibility while underweighting raw market size.
  • France, Spain or Germany could be better when scale, local language, existing customers or sales capacity already exist.

What Remains Uncertain

  • Market/data uncertainty: the business-population comparison is based on a 2020 common observation.
  • Market/data uncertainty: public indicators do not measure category-specific demand or sales conversion.
  • Company-specific uncertainty: pipeline, vertical fit, pricing, localization, language capability and partner access.
  • Company-specific uncertainty: whether cross-border selling can proceed without an entity for this company’s actual operating model.

What Would Change HUBL's View

  • A qualified pipeline concentrated in another market.
  • A product or regulatory requirement that makes local operation necessary earlier.
  • New comparable business-demography or digital-adoption data materially changing the country trade-offs.
  • A partner, language capability, or customer relationship that makes Germany, France or Spain materially easier to test.

Recommendation

Run a low-commitment Netherlands demand test first, then revisit the market decision using actual pipeline evidence before establishing irreversible local infrastructure.

Decision Report excerpt

Decision
Where should a representative UK B2B software company test its first European market?
Current view
The Netherlands is the strongest default lowest-regret test; Ireland is the leading English/digital alternative.
Evidence basis
Eurostat business-environment, cloud-adoption and ICT labour-cost comparisons, supported by current ECB business context.
Alternatives
Netherlands - default balanced first test; Ireland - English/digital alternative; Germany - scale/value alternative; France - scale alternative; Spain - cost/scale alternative
Challenge
Public digital proxies do not establish willingness to buy, and larger markets may outperform when company-specific access already exists.
Uncertainty
2020 business-population data, market-specific demand, pipeline, language, localization, partner access and entity requirements.
Next action
Test qualified demand in the Netherlands and compare actual evidence against the Ireland and scale-led alternatives.

Sources

  1. Enterprises using paid cloud computing servicesEurostat · OFFICIAL SOURCEPublished 2026-02-27 · accessed 2026-08-28

    Provides a comparable proxy for business software readiness among enterprises with 10 to 249 employees.

  2. Structural business statistics: enterprises by size classEurostat · OFFICIAL SOURCEPublished 2024-03-01 · accessed 2026-08-28

    Establishes the comparable business-environment scale used in this investigation.

  3. Labour cost levels in information and communicationEurostat · OFFICIAL SOURCEPublished 2026-04-23 · accessed 2026-08-28

    Provides a comparable ICT-sector labour-cost environment, not an actual expansion-team cost.

  4. Survey on the access to finance of enterprises: second quarter of 2026European Central Bank · OFFICIAL SOURCEPublished 2026-07-20 · accessed 2026-08-28

    Provides current euro-area business financing and activity context; it does not measure demand for HUBL.